Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas
934
FXUS64 KFWD 112327
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
627 PM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Hot and humid conditions will continue this week and into the
weekend with highs in the 90s and peak heat indices in the
100-105 range.
- Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms are likely near the
Red River late tonight through Friday morning.
- More widespread showers and thunderstorms (50-80% chance) look
to return to the area Sunday into early next week.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 155 PM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026
Early this afternoon, temperatures were in the low 90s with
dewpoints in the low to mid 70s, which puts heat indices over 100.
Skies were mostly sunny with breezy southerly winds of 15-20 MPH
gusting to near 30. The upper-level ridge that has resulted in hot
and humid conditions over the past few days is flattening out due to
broad-scale troughing over the north-central US. This trough will
help push a surface cold front southward toward north Texas
overnight before stalling out near the Red River. Thunderstorms are
expected to develop along the front overnight in Oklahoma and drift
into north Texas by sunrise. Hi-res models show these storms slowly
diminishing through midday with very low chances for severe weather.
PWAT values along and near the front are around 2.25 inches, so some
of these storms could produce locally heavy rainfall for areas north
of US-380/Denton. Even after storms dissipate, they might leave
behind some outflow boundaries for scattered afternoon storms to
develop from the Metroplex northward. Overall severe chances look
low for this activity, but there is a low (
NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion
