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Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
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934 FXUS64 KFWD 112327 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 627 PM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Hot and humid conditions will continue this week and into the weekend with highs in the 90s and peak heat indices in the 100-105 range. - Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms are likely near the Red River late tonight through Friday morning. - More widespread showers and thunderstorms (50-80% chance) look to return to the area Sunday into early next week. && .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Friday) Issued at 155 PM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026 Early this afternoon, temperatures were in the low 90s with dewpoints in the low to mid 70s, which puts heat indices over 100. Skies were mostly sunny with breezy southerly winds of 15-20 MPH gusting to near 30. The upper-level ridge that has resulted in hot and humid conditions over the past few days is flattening out due to broad-scale troughing over the north-central US. This trough will help push a surface cold front southward toward north Texas overnight before stalling out near the Red River. Thunderstorms are expected to develop along the front overnight in Oklahoma and drift into north Texas by sunrise. Hi-res models show these storms slowly diminishing through midday with very low chances for severe weather. PWAT values along and near the front are around 2.25 inches, so some of these storms could produce locally heavy rainfall for areas north of US-380/Denton. Even after storms dissipate, they might leave behind some outflow boundaries for scattered afternoon storms to develop from the Metroplex northward. Overall severe chances look low for this activity, but there is a low ( |
Previous Forecast Discussions may be found at
NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX (FWD) Office Forecast Discussions.
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