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Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
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571 FXUS64 KFWD 251035 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 535 AM CDT Sun Oct 25 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Quiet weather and mostly dry conditions will continue through early this week. - A change in the weather pattern is expected by late week, bringing slightly cooler temperatures and at least low rain chances by next weekend. && .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Monday) Issued at 117 AM CDT Sun Oct 25 2026 Tranquil weather will prevail to end the weekend and begin the workweek as an upper ridge axis gradually breaks down and retreats southeastward. This small pattern shift will allow for increased cloudiness as mid/high cloud cover spills into the region from the west during the next 36 hours, and when combined with modest height falls, will aid in knocking a few degrees off of high temperatures the next couple of days. Readings will will remain above normal though, mainly in the upper 70s and lower 80s. Moisture content will also begin increasing through the short term period as surface dewpoints return to the upper 50s and 60s. This will support an increase in morning stratus coverage, as well as perhaps some fog in parts of Central Texas this morning and again on Monday morning. Rain chances are negligible through the short term forecast period. && .LONG TERM... (Monday night through next Saturday) Issued at 117 AM CDT Sun Oct 25 2026 Above normal temperatures have become increasingly likely to persist through the extended forecast period and even into next weekend. Late-week rain chances have also begun to decrease as a result of the expected evolution of the upper ridge breakdown and northward displacement of the upper jet streak. As a result, our low rain chances through the workweek will consist primarily of rain showers associated with modest low-level warm/moist advection, some of which will be possible across the western half of the CWA as early as Tuesday. More meaningful rain chances will likely be delayed until the Friday-Sunday period when a more pronounced subtropical jet is expected to nose into the area coincident with a compact mid-level shortwave. Days 6-9 still appear to possess the greatest rain chances, but these chances are still far from certain and PoPs of more than about 30-40% are not warranted at this time. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 533 AM CDT Sun Oct 25 2026 VFR will prevail with a SCT/BKN canopy of cirrus arriving from the west today. Low stratus and fog have remained south and west of KACT this morning, and this trend should continue with no category reductions expected at the terminal. Light southeast winds of 5-10 kts will continue through the entire forecast period. && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 82 59 80 62 / 0 0 0 0 Waco 82 55 80 61 / 0 0 0 0 Paris 82 54 80 57 / 0 0 0 0 Denton 82 55 79 58 / 0 0 0 0 McKinney 82 56 80 58 / 0 0 0 0 Dallas 83 59 81 63 / 0 0 0 0 Terrell 83 56 81 58 / 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 82 56 81 60 / 0 0 0 0 Temple 83 55 82 61 / 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 82 56 80 59 / 0 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Stalley LONG TERM....Stalley AVIATION...Stalley |
Previous Forecast Discussions may be found at
NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX (FWD) Office Forecast Discussions.
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