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Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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188
FXUS64 KFWD 282326
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
626 PM CDT Tue Oct 28 2025

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Gusty northwest winds will continue through Wednesday with gusts
  as high as 45 mph Wednesday afternoon.

- A Wind Advisory is in effect for all of North and Central Texas.

- Below normal temperatures will continue through the end of the
  week.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 620 PM CDT Tue Oct 28 2025

No significant changes were made to the evening forecast as gusty
northwest winds continue. These will diminish a bit after sunset
but remain elevated around 15 mph through the overnight hours.
Strong afternoon mixing will lead to wind gusts approaching 45 mph
through the day Wednesday, but winds will diminish sharply
Wednesday evening. Overnight lows will drop into the 40s tonight
and into the mid/upper 30s on Wednesday night west of I-35.

Dunn

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Wednesday night)
Issued at 100 PM CDT Tue Oct 28 2025

Clouds across the area will continue to lift and move out of the
region through the afternoon, and into the evening. This all comes
in the wake of a robust cold front that is quickly racing into
East Texas and the ArkLaTex vicinity. Though the clouds are
dissipating, a strong gradient overhead will support gusty
northwesterly winds through the rest of the afternoon, and into
the overnight period. This gradient will remain locked in across
the FA into Wednesday, therefore a Wind Advisory remains in effect
through early Wednesday evening. Gusty northwesterly winds
between 20-25 mph will be accompanied by gusts between 40-45 mph.
As a result, the Wind Advisory has been expanded to the remaining
areas of the FA with this package.

Though temperatures will fall into the 40`s tonight as the post
frontal passage airmass is introduced, it won`t be until
Wednesday night, into early Thursday AM that lows in the 30`s
emerge across the western zones. At the same time, a spread of
40`s will exist across the central and eastern zones heading into
Thursday AM. Highs through the immediate short term will be
comfortable, sitting in the 60`s for both Wednesday and Thursday.
Cloud coverage looks to increase Wednesday afternoon as moisture
around the northern and western side of the low feature creeps
into the northeastern third of the FA.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through next Monday)
Issued at 130 PM CDT Tue Oct 28 2025

By Thursday, the influence of the upper trough will dwindle as
milder temperatures stick around through the end of the week, and
heading into the weekend. The forecast looks to remain rain free
through the end of the week, though a shortwave embedded within
the mid-level flow looks to increase rain prospects come Saturday
afternoon. Decent agreement among the global guidance scenarios
for this synoptic feature, though confidence in PoPs is not as
strong citing timing and moisture availability. For now, something
to keep watching through the rest of the week.

In the meantime, it is worth noting that the forecast showcases a
gradual warming trend towards the back half of the period as
highs in the mid and upper 70`s look to return as early as Monday.
This looks to be the theme through the end of the forecast
period.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 620 PM CDT Tue Oct 28 2025

VFR will prevail through the period with gusty northwest winds
diminishing a bit this evening after sunset. Strong mixing on
Wednesday will lead to another windy day with northwest winds
25 kt gusting to near 40 kt through the afternoon. These winds
will diminish sharply after sunset Wednesday evening.

Dunn

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    48  62  44  64 /   0   0   0   0
Waco                49  63  42  66 /   0   0   0   0
Paris               46  57  42  63 /   0   0   0   0
Denton              45  62  38  64 /   0   0   0   0
McKinney            46  62  41  63 /   0   0   0   0
Dallas              50  63  45  66 /   0   0   0   0
Terrell             48  62  42  64 /   0   0   0   0
Corsicana           50  64  45  66 /   0   0   0   0
Temple              47  64  39  68 /   0   0   0   0
Mineral Wells       45  64  37  67 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory until 6 PM CDT Wednesday for TXZ091>095-100>107-
115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175.

&&

$$

Previous Forecast Discussions may be found at
NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX (FWD) Office Forecast Discussions.
(Click 'Previous Version' there to view past versions successively.
Some may differ only in time posted.)

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