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Day 2 Outlook Convective Discussion
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Categorical Day2 1730Z Outlook
  
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Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1224 PM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026

   Valid 171200Z - 181200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe thunderstorms are not expected Saturday.

   ...Synopsis...
   The majority of the CONUS will be dominated by a cool/dry air mass
   with no potential for deep convection in the wake of a cold frontal
   passage off the southeast Atlantic coast.  One exception will be
   across central/south FL where moist profiles (PW greater than 2
   inches) and ascent along the cold front will support scattered
   thunderstorms.  A second possible exception will be across the
   Desert Southwest as midlevel moisture and ascent increase gradually
   near and east of a weak closed low over northern Baja.  Buoyancy
   rooted in the midlevels will be weak but could become sufficiently
   deep for charge separation and isolated lightning flashes the latter
   half of the period.

   ..Thompson.. 10/16/2026