Day 1 Outlook | Day 2 Outlook | Day 3 Outlook | Days 4-8 Outlook |
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Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook. A depicted severe weather area indicates a 30% or higher probability for severe thunderstorms within 25 miles of a point. |
D4 | Thu, Dec 12, 2024 - Fri, Dec 13, 2024 | D7 | Sun, Dec 15, 2024 - Mon, Dec 16, 2024 |
D5 | Fri, Dec 13, 2024 - Sat, Dec 14, 2024 | D8 | Mon, Dec 16, 2024 - Tue, Dec 17, 2024 |
D6 | Sat, Dec 14, 2024 - Sun, Dec 15, 2024 | (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) |
PREDICTABILITY TOO LOW is used to indicate severe storms may be possible based on some model scenarios. However, the location or occurrence of severe storms are in doubt due to:
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POTENTIAL TOO LOW means the threat for a regional area of organized severe storms appears highly unlikely during the entire period (e.g. less than a 30% probability for a regional severe storm area across the CONUS through the entire Day 4-8 period). |
Images courtesy of the NWS Storm Prediction Center
Forecast Discussion |